Shepherd 
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 90.0099
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
219 A Shippensburg PSAC ( 8- 9, 91.9) 9- 8
222 H Wheeling Mountain East ( 6- 8, 81.3) 16- 8
226 H Kutztown PSAC ( 9- 8, 94.5) 7-15
302 H Gannon PSAC ( 5-12, 86.4) 18-14
305 H Indiana (PA) PSAC ( 6-11, 90.2) 11-12
312 H Frostburg State Mountain East (13- 6, 88.9) 15- 6
322 A Bloomsburg PSAC ( 7-10, 90.5) 11-13
326 A Millersville PSAC (11- 7, 93.2) 7-10
329 H West Chester PSAC (18- 0, 98.2) 9-24
402 H Shippensburg PSAC ( 8- 9, 91.9) 12-13
405 A East Stroudsburg PSAC (14- 5, 95.7) 14-17
409 A Kutztown PSAC ( 9- 8, 94.5) 6-18
416 H Millersville PSAC (11- 7, 93.2) 4-16
419 H Bloomsburg PSAC ( 7-10, 90.5) 12-21
423 A West Chester PSAC (18- 0, 98.2) 5-20
426 H East Stroudsburg PSAC (14- 5, 95.7) 6-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
219 A Shippensburg 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.42
222 H Wheeling 16- 8 8 9 0.00
226 H Kutztown 7-15 -8 -4 -1.09
302 H Gannon 18-14 4 4 -0.12
305 H Indiana (PA) 11-12 -1 0 -1.35
312 H Frostburg State 15- 6 9 2 + 3.29
322 A Bloomsburg 11-13 -2 -1 -0.97
326 A Millersville 7-10 -3 -4 0.72
329 H West Chester 9-24 -15 -8 0.00
402 H Shippensburg 12-13 -1 -1 0.31
405 A East Stroudsburg 14-17 -3 -6 + 2.00
409 A Kutztown 6-18 -12 -5 0.00
416 H Millersville 4-16 -12 -3 - -2.38
419 H Bloomsburg 12-21 -9 0 -- -5.08
423 A West Chester 5-20 -15 -9 0.00
426 H East Stroudsburg 6-14 -8 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
419 H Bloomsburg 12-21 -9 0 -- -5.08
416 H Millersville 4-16 -12 -3 - -2.38
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
219 A Shippensburg 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.42
312 H Frostburg State 15- 6 9 2 + 3.29
405 A East Stroudsburg 14-17 -3 -6 + 2.00
|
Shepherd Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Adelphi |
Alabama-Huntsville |
Alabama-Huntsville |
|
 
| Alabama-Huntsville |
American International |
Shepherd |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Shepherd |
Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
|
 
| Anderson (SC) |
Ashland |
Shepherd |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Shepherd |
Assumption |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Barton |
Shepherd |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Shepherd |
Belmont Abbey |
Shepherd |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Shepherd |
Bentley |
Bentley |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Bentley |
Bloomsburg |
Bloomsburg |
Bloomsburg |
 
| |
Bridgeport |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Caldwell |
Shepherd |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Shepherd |
Catawba |
Shepherd |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Shepherd |
Charleston |
Shepherd |
|
Shepherd   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Chestnut Hill |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Chowan |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Coker |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Concordia-St Paul |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Converse |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
CSU-Pueblo |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
D'Youville |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Daemen |
Shepherd |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Shepherd |
Davenport |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Davis & Elkins |
Shepherd |
|
Shepherd   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
District of Columbia |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Dominican (CA) |
Shepherd |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Shepherd |
Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
|
 
| Dominican (NY) |
East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
 
| |
Edinboro |
Shepherd |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Shepherd |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Emmanuel (GA) |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Emory & Henry |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Felician |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Findlay |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Flagler |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Flagler |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
 
| Florida Southern |
Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
|
 
| Florida Tech |
Fort Lewis |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Franklin Pierce |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Frostburg State |
Shepherd |
Shepherd |
 
| |
Gannon |
Shepherd |
Shepherd |
 
| |
Georgian Court |
Shepherd |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) |
Shepherd |
Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Grand Valley State |
Holy Family |
Shepherd |
|
Shepherd   2- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
Indiana (PA) |
Indiana (PA) |
Indiana (PA) |
 
| |
Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
 
| Indianapolis |
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
 
| |
Lake Erie |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Lander |
Lander |
|
 
| Lander |
Lee |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Lees-McRae |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
 
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lewis |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Limestone |
Limestone |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Limestone |
Lincoln Memorial |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Lock Haven |
Lock Haven |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Lock Haven |
Lynn |
Lynn |
|
 
| Lynn |
Malone |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Mars Hill |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Maryville |
Maryville |
|
 
| Maryville |
McKendree |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Mercy |
Mercy |
|
 
| Mercy |
Millersville |
Millersville |
Millersville |
 
| |
Missouri Western |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Molloy |
Molloy |
|
 
| Molloy |
Montevallo |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Mount Olive |
Mount Olive |
|
 
| Mount Olive |
New Haven |
New Haven |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
New Haven |
Newberry |
Newberry |
|
 
| Newberry |
North Greenville |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Northern Michigan |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Northwood |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Pace |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
|
 
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Post |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Quincy |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Regis (CO) |
Regis (CO) |
|
 
| Regis (CO) |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Shepherd |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Shepherd |
Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rockhurst |
Rollins |
Rollins |
|
 
| Rollins |
Saginaw Valley State |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Seton Hill |
Shippensburg |
Shippensburg |
|
tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5) |
Shippensburg |
Shorter |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Slippery Rock |
Slippery Rock |
|
Slippery Rock   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Southern Connecticut |
Southern Connecticut |
|
 
| Southern Connecticut |
Southern New Hampshire |
Southern New Hampshire |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Southern New Hampshire |
Southern Wesleyan |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
 
| St Anselm |
St Leo |
St Leo |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Leo |
St Michaels |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
St Thomas Aquinas |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Tampa |
Tampa |
|
 
| Tampa |
Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas Jefferson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas More |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Tiffin |
Shepherd |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Shepherd |
Tusculum |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Ursuline |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
UVA Wise |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Virginia State |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Walsh |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
West Chester |
West Chester |
West Chester |
 
| |
West Virginia Wesleyan |
Shepherd |
|
Shepherd   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Westminster (UT) |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Wheeling |
Shepherd |
Shepherd |
 
| |
William Jewell |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
Wilmington (DE) |
Shepherd |
|
tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) |
Shepherd |
Wingate |
Wingate |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Wingate |
Young Harris |
Shepherd |
|
 
| Shepherd |
PowerWise = 66

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Shippensburg ( 8- 9, 91.9) 9- 8 -8.02 23.16 0.55 1.01 23.95
0 H Wheeling ( 6- 8, 81.3) 16- 8 -18.58 12.60 -0.55 1.01 12.17
0 H Kutztown ( 9- 8, 94.5) 7-15 -5.42 25.76 -0.55 1.01 -6.04
0 H Gannon ( 5-12, 86.4) 18-14 -13.46 17.72 -0.55 1.01 17.34
0 H Indiana (PA) ( 6-11, 90.2) 11-12 -9.69 21.50 -0.55 1.01 -10.34
0 H Frostburg Stat (13- 6, 88.9) 15- 6 -11.05 20.13 -0.55 1.01 19.77
0 A Bloomsburg ( 7-10, 90.5) 11-13 -9.41 21.77 0.55 1.01 -8.95
0 A Millersville (11- 7, 93.2) 7-10 -6.72 24.46 0.55 1.01 -6.23
0 H West Chester (18- 0, 98.2) 9-24 -1.68 29.51 -0.55 1.01 -2.25
0 H Shippensburg ( 8- 9, 91.9) 12-13 -8.02 23.16 -0.55 1.01 -8.66
0 A East Stroudsbu (14- 5, 95.7) 14-17 -4.16 27.02 0.55 1.01 -3.64
0 A Kutztown ( 9- 8, 94.5) 6-18 -5.42 25.76 0.55 1.01 -4.92
0 H Millersville (11- 7, 93.2) 4-16 -6.72 24.46 -0.55 1.01 -7.35
0 H Bloomsburg ( 7-10, 90.5) 12-21 -9.41 21.77 -0.55 1.01 -10.07
0 A West Chester (18- 0, 98.2) 5-20 -1.68 29.51 0.55 1.01 -1.13
0 H East Stroudsbu (14- 5, 95.7) 6-14 -4.16 27.02 -0.55 1.01 -4.76
------
-1.09
|
winning pts = 73.2404 losing points = -74.3346
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------