UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Shepherd 2
  
Shepherd              
W-L: ( 2- 8) PR = 83.6603

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 A Seton Hill PSAC ( 7- 4, 88.3) 4-17 225 A Wheeling Mountain East ( 5- 6, 80.7) 21- 6 304 A Frostburg State Mountain East ( 9- 2, 87.5) 7-17 307 A Belmont Abbey Carolinas ( 8- 5, 86.1) 5-14 314 A Bloomsburg PSAC ( 3- 9, 85.2) 6-18 318 A Millersville PSAC ( 5- 7, 86.5) 8-17 321 H West Chester PSAC (11- 2, 93.3) 6-20 325 H Shippensburg PSAC ( 5- 7, 86.9) 19-15 328 A East Stroudsburg PSAC (13- 0, 97.7) 4-21 408 H Millersville PSAC ( 5- 7, 86.5) 9-13 411 H Bloomsburg PSAC ( 3- 9, 85.2) 415 A West Chester PSAC (11- 2, 93.3) 418 H East Stroudsburg PSAC (13- 0, 97.7) 420 H Kutztown PSAC ( 7- 5, 90.9) 422 A Shippensburg PSAC ( 5- 7, 86.9) 425 A Kutztown PSAC ( 7- 5, 90.9)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Seton Hill              4-17     -13    -5           0.00
   225 A Wheeling               21- 6      15     3    +      2.43
   304 A Frostburg State         7-17     -10    -4          -0.74
   307 A Belmont Abbey           5-14      -9    -3    -     -2.16
   314 A Bloomsburg              6-18     -12    -2    -     -3.03
   318 A Millersville            8-17      -9    -3          -1.72
   321 H West Chester            6-20     -14    -9           0.00
   325 H Shippensburg           19-15       4    -3    +++    6.79
   328 A East Stroudsburg        4-21     -17   -14           0.00
   408 H Millersville            9-13      -4    -2          -1.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Belmont Abbey           5-14      -9    -3    -     -2.16
   314 A Bloomsburg              6-18     -12    -2    -     -3.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Shippensburg           19-15       4    -3    +++    6.79
   225 A Wheeling               21- 6      15     3    +      2.43

Shepherd Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville   Alabama-Huntsville
American International Shepherd   Shepherd
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Anderson (SC)
Ashland Ashland   Ashland
Assumption Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Barton Shepherd   Shepherd
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey  
Bentley Bentley tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bentley
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg Bloomsburg  
Bridgeport Shepherd   Shepherd
Caldwell Shepherd tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shepherd
Catawba Shepherd   Shepherd
Charleston Charleston tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Charleston
Chestnut Hill Shepherd insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Shepherd
Chowan Chowan   Chowan
Coker Shepherd   Shepherd
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring   Colorado-Colorado Spring
Concordia-St Paul Shepherd   Shepherd
Converse Shepherd   Shepherd
CSU-Pueblo CSU-Pueblo   CSU-Pueblo
D'Youville Shepherd   Shepherd
Daemen Daemen   Daemen
Davenport Shepherd   Shepherd
Davis & Elkins Shepherd insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Shepherd
District of Columbia Shepherd   Shepherd
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA)   Dominican (CA)
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg  
Edinboro Shepherd tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shepherd
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Shepherd tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shepherd
Emory & Henry Shepherd   Shepherd
Felician Shepherd   Shepherd
Findlay Shepherd insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Shepherd
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern   Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Shepherd   Shepherd
Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce   Franklin Pierce
Frostburg State Frostburg State Frostburg State  
Gannon Shepherd tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Shepherd
Georgian Court Georgian Court insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Georgian Court
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Valley State
Holy Family Shepherd   Shepherd
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA) tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Indiana (PA)
Indianapolis Indianapolis   Indianapolis
Kutztown Kutztown Kutztown   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Lake Erie Shepherd insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Shepherd
Lander Lander   Lander
Lee Shepherd   Shepherd
Lees-McRae Shepherd tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shepherd
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Lewis   Lewis
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Shepherd   Shepherd
Lock Haven Lock Haven tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Lock Haven
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Shepherd   Shepherd
Mars Hill Shepherd   Shepherd
Maryville Maryville   Maryville
McKendree McKendree   McKendree
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Millersville Millersville Millersville  
Missouri Western Missouri Western   Missouri Western
Molloy Shepherd   Shepherd
Montevallo Montevallo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Montevallo
Mount Olive Mount Olive insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mount Olive
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Newberry Newberry tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newberry
North Greenville Shepherd tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shepherd
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Northwood Shepherd   Shepherd
Pace Pace tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic   Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Shepherd   Shepherd
Quincy Quincy   Quincy
Regis (CO) Regis (CO)   Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan   Roberts Wesleyan
Rockhurst Rockhurst insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Shepherd   Shepherd
Seton Hill Seton Hill Seton Hill  
Shippensburg Shepherd Shepherd  
Shorter Shepherd tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shepherd
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock Slippery Rock   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire   Southern New Hampshire
Southern Wesleyan Shepherd tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shepherd
St Anselm St Anselm   St Anselm
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels Shepherd   Shepherd
St Thomas Aquinas Shepherd   Shepherd
Tampa Tampa   Tampa
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Shepherd   Shepherd
Tiffin Shepherd   Shepherd
Tusculum Shepherd   Shepherd
Ursuline Shepherd   Shepherd
UVA Wise UVA Wise   UVA Wise
Virginia State Shepherd   Shepherd
Walsh Shepherd   Shepherd
West Chester West Chester West Chester  
West Virginia Wesleyan Shepherd insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Shepherd
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT)   Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Shepherd Shepherd  
William Jewell Shepherd   Shepherd
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Wingate Wingate Wingate   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Young Harris Young Harris insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Young Harris

PowerWise = 46


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Seton Hill      ( 7- 4, 88.3)     4-17      -11.56      21.63       0.41         1.10           -12.31
   0 A Wheeling        ( 5- 6, 80.7)    21- 6      -19.22      13.97       0.41         1.10            15.87
   0 A Frostburg Stat  ( 9- 2, 87.5)     7-17      -12.39      20.81       0.41         1.10           -13.22
   0 A Belmont Abbey   ( 8- 5, 86.1)     5-14      -13.80      19.39       0.41         1.10           -14.78
   0 A Bloomsburg      ( 3- 9, 85.2)     6-18      -14.68      18.51       0.41         1.10           -15.75
   0 A Millersville    ( 5- 7, 86.5)     8-17      -13.37      19.82       0.41         1.10           -14.30
   0 H West Chester    (11- 2, 93.3)     6-20       -6.63      26.56      -0.41         1.10            -7.76
   0 H Shippensburg    ( 5- 7, 86.9)    19-15      -13.04      20.15      -0.41         1.10            21.79
   0 A East Stroudsbu  (13- 0, 97.7)     4-21       -2.17      31.02       0.41         1.10            -1.95
   0 H Millersville    ( 5- 7, 86.5)     9-13      -13.37      19.82      -0.41         1.10           -15.20
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -57.61

winning pts = 37.6578 losing points = -95.2695

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------